Myth: The BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, and China) countries stand on the verge of overtaking the old global powers of the United States, Japan and Europe in terms of global economic influence.
Reality: Although they boast impressive rates of growth, and have been a much better place to make money than the U.S. stock market, the BRIC countries are still economic minnows. If you look at them in real (and not in overly flattering purchasing parity power) terms, the BRIC countries are best compared with large U.S. states in terms of economic heft. China and its population of 1.3 billion generate as much economic wealth as do the 60 million inhabitants of California and Texas. India's economy is the size of Florida. Brazil's is the size of New York. And Russia is smaller than Ohio and Illinois combined.
3. Myth: Russia's kleptocracy and gangster politics have crippled Russia's economy, leaving it in tatters. Investors in Russia have suffered from the government's willy-nilly investment and expropriation policies. That's why Warren Buffett, Jim Rogers, and George Soros refuse to touch the place
Reality: Russia presents a conundrum for the Western good guys. Yes, it is a kleptocracy and a handful of Western investors and Russian companies have been shafted in a high profile way. But thanks largely to the soaring price of oil, the Russian economy has exploded, growing at 9.5% in Q4 of last year and 8.5% in Q1 of 2008. That means that it is nipping at the heels of India, and is hot on the trails of China in the economic growth sweepstakes. Among the BRICs, Russia has been by far the best investment during the past decade or so, with investors clocking 60x returns since the Russian market bottomed in October 1998. Russia is also one of the top markets in the world this year. And here's a factoid that warms the Russian heart: Moscow now boasts a larger number of billionaires than New York or London.
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Nancy E. Griffin
Kinlin Grover GMAC Real Estate
Certified International Property Specialist
193 Cranberry Highway
Orleans, Cape Cod, MA 02653
ABR, FIABCI, CIPS, TNR
508.632-0576 fax
508.726.7914 cell
Tuesday, June 24, 2008
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